Carlsen points out favourite and underdog: Sindarov is clear favourite, Gukesh has higher ceiling

In a recent interview, world number one Magnus Carlsen offered sharp insights into the upcoming World Chess Championship match between defending champion D Gukesh (India) and challenger Javokhir Sindarov (Uzbekistan). Carlsen, who dominated the chess world for years, was straightforward in saying that Sindarov is the clear favourite, even though Gukesh is the youngest champion in history. "Sindarov is the clear favourite," Carlsen said. "But Gukesh has a higher ceiling – his maximum potential is enormous. The question is whether Gukesh can rediscover the form that made him champion." This observation is notable as Gukesh, at 18, has already defeated many big names to claim the title. Meanwhile, the 19-year-old Sindarov is highly rated for his all-round play and experience in major tournaments. Carlsen particularly emphasised psychological factors. He believes that the player who takes an early lead will have a huge advantage. "If Sindarov gets an early lead, Gukesh will find it difficult to recover. Conversely, if Gukesh pulls ahead, Sindarov may start doubting himself," Carlsen analysed. This adds to the drama of a match where both are young players with relatively untested nerves at the highest level. Beyond professional assessments, Carlsen also criticised the match format, calling it "a terrible way to determine the best player." This is not the first time Carlsen has spoken out on this issue. He has previously argued that the 14-game classical format plus tiebreaks make the match boring and indecisive. This time, despite not competing, he still voiced criticism, reflecting long-standing dissatisfaction with FIDE's system. This match is not only a contest between two individuals but also a symbol of the rise of chess in India and Uzbekistan. India has invested heavily in youth training, with Gukesh as a flagship product. Uzbekistan is equally competitive, with Sindarov and compatriot Nodirbek Abdusattorov emerging strongly. Carlsen acknowledged that competition among these new generations is good for the game. In detailed analysis, Carlsen noted that Gukesh needs to regain top form – the form that helped her defeat tough opponents to win the title. In contrast, Sindarov is seen as more stable, making fewer errors. However, Carlsen also warned: "Don't underestimate Gukesh. If she explodes at the right moment, things could change." Tactically, Carlsen did not delve into specific moves, but he believes preparation and psychological handling will be decisive. He also mentioned the influence of the Global Chess League – a team event both participated in – but does not think it directly impacts the final. Experts value Carlsen's insights because he understands the pressure of a title match better than anyone. Although not playing, Carlsen remains an authoritative voice. Many believe his comments will affect the psychology of both players, especially Gukesh being considered the 'underdog'. The match is expected to take place in the coming months with a 14-game classical format, followed by tiebreaks if needed. With what Carlsen shared, fans can expect a tense psychological battle where the first move could decide everything. Will Sindarov maintain his favourite status? Or will Gukesh make history once again? The answers will come on the board. Magnus Carlsen, as a player who has successfully defended his title multiple times, understands better than anyone the psychological traps of a long match. He shared that maintaining focus across games is a major challenge. "You can prepare well, but one moment of distraction can collapse everything." This warning is especially relevant for the two young players. From a chess development perspective, this final is historically significant. For the first time, both players come from Asia and are very young. This signals a power shift from Europe to Asia in chess. Carlsen welcomed this trend but noted that European players still have many big names and will return soon. On the fan side, the atmosphere is electric. Chess forums are full of discussions about each player's chances. Many support Gukesh for his fairy-tale story, while others trust Sindarov's stability. Carlsen, with his assessment, helps clarify the big picture. In summary, the World Chess Championship match between Gukesh and Sindarov is not just a battle of wits but a psychological war. Magnus Carlsen has painted clear scenarios, from early lead advantages to mental decline risks. With what is known, fans are facing one of the most exciting finals in chess history. Lesson from Carlsen: never underestimate the power of psychology. Although Sindarov is favoured, if Gukesh regains form and capitalises on an early lead, she can completely turn the tables. The match format, despite criticism, remains a fair playing field for both. Let's wait to see who will emerge victorious in this historic encounter.